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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Israel. Ligat Ha'Al

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2394, period of time : 02-02-2013 - 01-28-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.44, variance V = 2.36, SD = 1.54, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 39.5%, draw = 27.4%, P2 = 33.1%, total 0 = 9.4%, over 2.5 = 43.8%, under 2.5 = 56.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Poisson and Total PDF
Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.43, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.14, variance V = 1.22, SD = 1.11, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.16, variance V = 2.95, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Sunday
01-29-2023
02:38:02 UTC