To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Israel. Ligat Ha'Al

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2363, period of time : 11-30-2013 - 11-25-2023

### Match total

Average per match E = 2.44, variance V = 2.31, SD = 1.52, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 39.3%, draw = 27.3%, P2 = 33.4%, total 0 = 8.9%, over 2.5 = 43.9%, under 2.5 = 56.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)  ### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.42, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.14, variance V = 1.20, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.16, variance V = 2.93, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2) Page time:

Wednesday
11-29-2023
02:21:51 UTC