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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Israel. Ligat Ha'Al

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2385, period of time : 09-13-2014 - 05-11-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.44, variance V = 2.32, SD = 1.52, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 39.2%, draw = 27.2%, P2 = 33.6%, total 0 = 8.9%, over 2.5 = 43.9%, under 2.5 = 56.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Poisson and Total PDF
Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.42, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.15, variance V = 1.22, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.14, variance V = 2.95, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
05-26-2024
02:49:21 UTC