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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Israel. Ligat Ha'Al

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2389, period of time : 08-25-2012 - 05-10-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.43, variance V = 2.34, SD = 1.53, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 40.0%, draw = 27.1%, P2 = 32.9%, total 0 = 9.4%, over 2.5 = 44.0%, under 2.5 = 56.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Poisson and Total PDF
Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.41, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.13, variance V = 1.22, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.17, variance V = 2.90, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.06, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Israel. Ligat Ha'Al: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
05-18-2022
16:25:52 UTC