To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Croatia. First League

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 738, period of time : 02-27-2020 - 05-26-2024

### Match total

Average per match E = 2.59, variance V = 2.81, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 42.6%, draw = 24.8%, P2 = 32.7%, total 0 = 8.5%, over 2.5 = 48.1%, under 2.5 = 51.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.41, variance V = 1.58, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

### Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.41, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.23, variance V = 3.17, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.07, Min = -5, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Page time:

Friday
08-09-2024
10:03:10 UTC