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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Croatia. First League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 412, period of time : 02-27-2020 - 05-08-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.62, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 41.5%, draw = 23.8%, P2 = 34.7%, total 0 = 7.5%, over 2.5 = 48.3%, under 2.5 = 51.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Croatia. First League: Poisson and Total PDF
Croatia. First League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.54, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Croatia. First League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.22, variance V = 1.40, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Croatia. First League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.17, variance V = 3.12, SD = 1.77, E/V = 0.06, Min = -5, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Croatia. First League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
05-18-2022
17:27:19 UTC