To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Croatia. First League

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 324, period of time : 02-27-2020 - 11-28-2021

### Match total

Average per match E = 2.60, variance V = 2.80, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 41.1%, draw = 23.2%, P2 = 35.8%, total 0 = 6.5%, over 2.5 = 45.7%, under 2.5 = 54.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)  ### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.58, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.21, variance V = 1.38, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.18, variance V = 3.11, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.06, Min = -5, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2) Page time:

Tuesday
12-07-2021
13:23:28 UTC