Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Croatia. First League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 591, period of time : 02-27-2020 - 09-16-2023

Match total

Average per match E = 2.60, variance V = 2.90, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 42.3%, draw = 25.7%, P2 = 32.0%, total 0 = 8.8%, over 2.5 = 47.9%, under 2.5 = 52.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.41, variance V = 1.58, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.42, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.23, variance V = 3.11, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.07, Min = -5, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)