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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Croatia. First League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 707, period of time : 02-27-2020 - 04-14-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.56, variance V = 2.80, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 42.2%, draw = 25.5%, P2 = 32.4%, total 0 = 8.9%, over 2.5 = 47.4%, under 2.5 = 52.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Croatia. First League: Poisson and Total PDF
Croatia. First League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.56, SD = 1.25, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Croatia. First League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.17, variance V = 1.41, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Croatia. First League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.22, variance V = 3.14, SD = 1.77, E/V = 0.07, Min = -5, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Croatia. First League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
04-17-2024
13:28:39 UTC