To the Heroes Glory!

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Croatia. First League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 252, period of time : 02-27-2020 - 07-25-2021

Match total

Average per match E = 2.51, variance V = 2.54, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.33, variance V = 1.45, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.17, variance V = 1.36, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.16, variance V = 3.07, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.05, Min = -5, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Page time:

Wednesday
07-28-2021
18:16:39 UTC