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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Belgium. Division 2

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 169, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 11-28-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 3.11, variance V = 3.19, SD = 1.79, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 42.6%, draw = 24.3%, P2 = 33.1%, total 0 = 5.3%, over 2.5 = 57.4%, under 2.5 = 42.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Belgium. Division 2: Poisson and Total PDF
Belgium. Division 2: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.63, variance V = 1.71, SD = 1.31, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Belgium. Division 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 1.58, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Belgium. Division 2: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.15, variance V = 3.40, SD = 1.84, E/V = 0.04, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Belgium. Division 2: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
04:33:21 UTC