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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Colombia. Primera A

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 4071, period of time : 02-27-2014 - 02-27-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.27, variance V = 2.30, SD = 1.52, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.8%, draw = 30.1%, P2 = 23.2%, total 0 = 10.8%, over 2.5 = 40.1%, under 2.5 = 59.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Colombia. Primera A: Poisson and Total PDF
Colombia. Primera A: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.35, variance V = 1.25, SD = 1.12, E/V = 1.08, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Colombia. Primera A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.92, variance V = 0.91, SD = 0.95, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Colombia. Primera A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.43, variance V = 2.02, SD = 1.42, E/V = 0.21, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Colombia. Primera A: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
03-02-2024
14:06:29 UTC