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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Colombia. Primera A

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3907, period of time : 01-28-2012 - 12-22-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.32, variance V = 2.29, SD = 1.51, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.1%, draw = 30.3%, P2 = 23.6%, total 0 = 10.4%, over 2.5 = 41.6%, under 2.5 = 58.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Colombia. Primera A: Poisson and Total PDF
Colombia. Primera A: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.27, SD = 1.13, E/V = 1.08, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Colombia. Primera A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.94, variance V = 0.91, SD = 0.95, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Colombia. Primera A: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.43, variance V = 2.08, SD = 1.44, E/V = 0.20, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Colombia. Primera A: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Monday
01-17-2022
10:48:30 UTC