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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Latvia. Virsliga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 298, period of time : 11-09-2019 - 05-06-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.00, variance V = 3.25, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 45.6%, draw = 18.5%, P2 = 35.9%, total 0 = 5.0%, over 2.5 = 56.4%, under 2.5 = 43.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Total PDF
Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.60, variance V = 2.14, SD = 1.46, E/V = 0.75, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 2.25, SD = 1.50, E/V = 0.62, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.20, variance V = 5.54, SD = 2.35, E/V = 0.04, Min = -10, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Latvia. Virsliga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
05-17-2022
05:22:52 UTC