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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Latvia. Virsliga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 245, period of time : 11-09-2019 - 11-06-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 3.03, variance V = 3.07, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Total PDF
Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.62, variance V = 2.22, SD = 1.49, E/V = 0.73, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.41, variance V = 2.04, SD = 1.43, E/V = 0.69, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.21, variance V = 5.45, SD = 2.33, E/V = 0.04, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Latvia. Virsliga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
05:36:15 UTC