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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Latvia. Virsliga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 389, period of time : 11-09-2019 - 09-18-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.99, variance V = 3.13, SD = 1.77, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 45.8%, draw = 17.5%, P2 = 36.8%, total 0 = 5.1%, over 2.5 = 57.3%, under 2.5 = 42.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Total PDF
Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.60, variance V = 2.15, SD = 1.47, E/V = 0.74, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 2.14, SD = 1.46, E/V = 0.65, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.21, variance V = 5.45, SD = 2.33, E/V = 0.04, Min = -10, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Latvia. Virsliga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
09-26-2022
10:21:08 UTC