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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Latvia. Virsliga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 607, period of time : 11-09-2019 - 11-11-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.98, variance V = 3.27, SD = 1.81, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.0%, draw = 19.8%, P2 = 36.2%, total 0 = 5.4%, over 2.5 = 54.7%, under 2.5 = 45.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Total PDF
Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.56, variance V = 2.11, SD = 1.45, E/V = 0.74, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.42, variance V = 2.18, SD = 1.48, E/V = 0.65, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Latvia. Virsliga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.15, variance V = 5.32, SD = 2.31, E/V = 0.03, Min = -10, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Latvia. Virsliga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Wednesday
05-29-2024
12:42:41 UTC