Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Austria. Bundesliga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1700, period of time : 04-26-2014 - 04-24-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.90, variance V = 3.00, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 42.3%, draw = 24.2%, P2 = 33.5%, total 0 = 6.5%, over 2.5 = 54.7%, under 2.5 = 45.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.56, variance V = 1.85, SD = 1.36, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.62, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.22, variance V = 3.94, SD = 1.98, E/V = 0.05, Min = -9, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)