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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Paraguay. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2529, period of time : 03-01-2014 - 02-26-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.69, variance V = 2.77, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 38.8%, draw = 27.7%, P2 = 33.5%, total 0 = 7.6%, over 2.5 = 50.3%, under 2.5 = 49.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.49, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.42, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.10, variance V = 3.05, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.03, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Paraguay. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
03-04-2024
18:49:53 UTC