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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Paraguay. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2522, period of time : 09-22-2012 - 09-19-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.72, variance V = 2.82, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 39.7%, draw = 27.2%, P2 = 33.2%, total 0 = 7.3%, over 2.5 = 51.0%, under 2.5 = 49.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.42, variance V = 1.50, SD = 1.23, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.44, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.12, variance V = 3.06, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.04, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Paraguay. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
10:04:42 UTC