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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Paraguay. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2525, period of time : 06-10-2014 - 06-06-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.67, variance V = 2.74, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 38.7%, draw = 27.1%, P2 = 34.1%, total 0 = 7.6%, over 2.5 = 50.1%, under 2.5 = 49.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.38, variance V = 1.46, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.41, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Paraguay. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.09, variance V = 3.00, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.03, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Paraguay. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
06-15-2024
21:06:35 UTC