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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Norway. Tippeligaen

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1859, period of time : 09-24-2016 - 07-13-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 3.00, variance V = 2.90, SD = 1.70, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 46.6%, draw = 24.8%, P2 = 28.7%, total 0 = 5.4%, over 2.5 = 58.4%, under 2.5 = 41.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Norway. Tippeligaen: Poisson and Total PDF
Norway. Tippeligaen: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.72, variance V = 1.85, SD = 1.36, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Norway. Tippeligaen: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.27, variance V = 1.31, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Norway. Tippeligaen: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.45, variance V = 3.43, SD = 1.85, E/V = 0.13, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Norway. Tippeligaen: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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10-18-2026
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