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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Norway. Tippeligaen

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2415, period of time : 03-23-2012 - 12-15-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.95, variance V = 2.91, SD = 1.71, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 47.4%, draw = 25.3%, P2 = 27.3%, total 0 = 5.8%, over 2.5 = 56.4%, under 2.5 = 43.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Norway. Tippeligaen: Poisson and Total PDF
Norway. Tippeligaen: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.72, variance V = 1.81, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Norway. Tippeligaen: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.23, variance V = 1.25, SD = 1.12, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Norway. Tippeligaen: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.49, variance V = 3.21, SD = 1.79, E/V = 0.15, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Norway. Tippeligaen: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Tuesday
01-18-2022
17:05:56 UTC