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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Norway. Tippeligaen

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2417, period of time : 03-28-2014 - 12-10-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 3.01, variance V = 2.93, SD = 1.71, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 47.1%, draw = 24.5%, P2 = 28.4%, total 0 = 5.3%, over 2.5 = 58.2%, under 2.5 = 41.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Norway. Tippeligaen: Poisson and Total PDF
Norway. Tippeligaen: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.74, variance V = 1.85, SD = 1.36, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Norway. Tippeligaen: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.27, variance V = 1.30, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Norway. Tippeligaen: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.47, variance V = 3.37, SD = 1.84, E/V = 0.14, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Norway. Tippeligaen: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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03-02-2024
14:12:29 UTC