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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Luxembourg. National Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 493, period of time : 02-29-2020 - 05-15-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.13, variance V = 3.25, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 43.2%, draw = 19.7%, P2 = 37.1%, total 0 = 4.3%, over 2.5 = 60.6%, under 2.5 = 39.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Luxembourg. National Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Luxembourg. National Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.65, variance V = 2.21, SD = 1.49, E/V = 0.74, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Luxembourg. National Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.49, variance V = 1.95, SD = 1.40, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Luxembourg. National Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.16, variance V = 5.07, SD = 2.25, E/V = 0.03, Min = -8, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Luxembourg. National Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-19-2022
13:04:35 UTC