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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Honduras. Liga Nacional

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 494, period of time : 03-14-2020 - 02-05-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.81, variance V = 2.71, SD = 1.65, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 43.5%, draw = 25.9%, P2 = 30.6%, total 0 = 6.7%, over 2.5 = 54.7%, under 2.5 = 45.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total PDF
Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 1.87, SD = 1.37, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.23, variance V = 1.29, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.35, variance V = 3.60, SD = 1.90, E/V = 0.10, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
02-09-2023
00:03:55 UTC