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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Honduras. Liga Nacional

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 724, period of time : 03-14-2020 - 03-15-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.75, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 43.9%, draw = 27.5%, P2 = 28.6%, total 0 = 7.6%, over 2.5 = 52.6%, under 2.5 = 47.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total PDF
Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.81, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.19, variance V = 1.21, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.38, variance V = 3.29, SD = 1.81, E/V = 0.12, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
03-28-2024
15:00:49 UTC