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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Honduras. Liga Nacional

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 368, period of time : 03-14-2020 - 05-22-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.82, variance V = 2.78, SD = 1.67, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 42.9%, draw = 26.4%, P2 = 30.7%, total 0 = 7.1%, over 2.5 = 54.4%, under 2.5 = 45.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total PDF
Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.94, SD = 1.39, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.24, variance V = 1.34, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.33, variance V = 3.78, SD = 1.94, E/V = 0.09, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-26-2022
11:40:29 UTC