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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Honduras. Liga Nacional

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 656, period of time : 03-14-2020 - 11-13-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.78, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 43.9%, draw = 27.1%, P2 = 29.0%, total 0 = 7.2%, over 2.5 = 53.2%, under 2.5 = 46.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total PDF
Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.84, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.20, variance V = 1.22, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.37, variance V = 3.34, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.11, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Honduras. Liga Nacional: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
11-29-2023
02:40:23 UTC