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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Peru. Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2476, period of time : 09-19-2016 - 07-14-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.66, variance V = 2.75, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 48.3%, draw = 26.6%, P2 = 25.0%, total 0 = 7.6%, over 2.5 = 48.8%, under 2.5 = 51.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Peru. Championship: Poisson and Total PDF
Peru. Championship: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.56, SD = 1.25, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Peru. Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.09, variance V = 1.19, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Peru. Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.48, variance V = 2.75, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.18, Min = -8, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Peru. Championship: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
10-14-2026
08:46:58 UTC