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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Italy. Serie B

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 4240, period of time : 11-29-2013 - 11-26-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.41, variance V = 2.38, SD = 1.54, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 42.3%, draw = 32.1%, P2 = 25.6%, total 0 = 9.6%, over 2.5 = 43.1%, under 2.5 = 56.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Italy. Serie B: Poisson and Total PDF
Italy. Serie B: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.26, SD = 1.12, E/V = 1.08, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Italy. Serie B: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.04, variance V = 1.03, SD = 1.01, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Italy. Serie B: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 2.20, SD = 1.48, E/V = 0.15, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Italy. Serie B: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
11-29-2023
08:32:25 UTC