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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Italy. Serie B

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3186, period of time : 09-24-2016 - 06-02-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.44, variance V = 2.42, SD = 1.55, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 41.5%, draw = 32.1%, P2 = 26.4%, total 0 = 9.4%, over 2.5 = 43.6%, under 2.5 = 56.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Italy. Serie B: Poisson and Total PDF
Italy. Serie B: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.27, SD = 1.12, E/V = 1.08, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Italy. Serie B: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.08, variance V = 1.04, SD = 1.02, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Italy. Serie B: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.29, variance V = 2.19, SD = 1.48, E/V = 0.13, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Italy. Serie B: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:06:13 UTC