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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Brazil. Serie B

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2898, period of time : 04-18-2014 - 11-28-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.25, variance V = 2.24, SD = 1.50, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.1%, draw = 29.0%, P2 = 24.9%, total 0 = 10.9%, over 2.5 = 40.0%, under 2.5 = 60.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Brazil. Serie B: Poisson and Total PDF
Brazil. Serie B: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.31, variance V = 1.18, SD = 1.09, E/V = 1.11, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazil. Serie B: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.94, variance V = 0.91, SD = 0.95, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Brazil. Serie B: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.38, variance V = 1.95, SD = 1.39, E/V = 0.19, Min = -5, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Brazil. Serie B: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
04:32:37 UTC