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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Iceland. Premier Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1283, period of time : 05-14-2012 - 09-25-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 3.02, variance V = 2.95, SD = 1.72, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 43.0%, draw = 24.5%, P2 = 32.6%, total 0 = 4.2%, over 2.5 = 57.0%, under 2.5 = 43.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.63, variance V = 1.71, SD = 1.31, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.48, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.25, variance V = 3.45, SD = 1.86, E/V = 0.07, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Iceland. Premier Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
05-17-2022
19:58:20 UTC