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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Iceland. Premier Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1141, period of time : 08-31-2014 - 07-15-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 3.07, variance V = 3.07, SD = 1.75, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 12
P1 = 44.4%, draw = 23.9%, P2 = 31.6%, total 0 = 4.5%, over 2.5 = 58.5%, under 2.5 = 41.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.69, variance V = 1.84, SD = 1.36, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.38, variance V = 1.48, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 3.58, SD = 1.89, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Iceland. Premier Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
10-06-2024
00:16:02 UTC