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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Iceland. Premier Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1169, period of time : 09-29-2012 - 09-25-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.99, variance V = 2.91, SD = 1.71, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 42.9%, draw = 24.9%, P2 = 32.2%, total 0 = 4.5%, over 2.5 = 56.8%, under 2.5 = 43.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.63, variance V = 1.68, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.46, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.26, variance V = 3.37, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.08, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Iceland. Premier Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
09-26-2022
08:39:34 UTC