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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Iceland. Premier Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1163, period of time : 05-04-2014 - 04-08-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 3.02, variance V = 3.02, SD = 1.74, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 12
P1 = 44.0%, draw = 24.5%, P2 = 31.5%, total 0 = 4.5%, over 2.5 = 57.1%, under 2.5 = 42.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.66, variance V = 1.74, SD = 1.32, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.47, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Iceland. Premier Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 3.39, SD = 1.84, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Iceland. Premier Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
04-18-2024
18:29:15 UTC