Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Bulgaria. Parva Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1016, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 04-09-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.42, variance V = 2.75, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.7%, draw = 24.7%, P2 = 28.6%, total 0 = 10.3%, over 2.5 = 43.3%, under 2.5 = 56.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.63, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.04, variance V = 1.31, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.35, variance V = 3.13, SD = 1.77, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)