To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Bulgaria. Parva Liga

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 407, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 12-05-2021

### Match total

Average per match E = 2.45, variance V = 2.88, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 46.0%, draw = 27.0%, P2 = 27.0%, total 0 = 11.5%, over 2.5 = 43.7%, under 2.5 = 56.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)  ### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.63, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.05, variance V = 1.26, SD = 1.12, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.36, variance V = 2.89, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.12, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2) Page time:

Tuesday
12-07-2021
13:03:15 UTC