Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Bulgaria. Parva Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 694, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 03-13-2023

Match total

Average per match E = 2.42, variance V = 2.87, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 47.1%, draw = 25.8%, P2 = 27.1%, total 0 = 11.1%, over 2.5 = 42.6%, under 2.5 = 57.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.63, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.03, variance V = 1.31, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.37, variance V = 3.01, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.12, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)