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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Bulgaria. Parva Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1076, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 05-31-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.42, variance V = 2.72, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.6%, draw = 24.8%, P2 = 28.6%, total 0 = 10.4%, over 2.5 = 43.3%, under 2.5 = 56.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Bulgaria. Parva Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Bulgaria. Parva Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.38, variance V = 1.62, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Bulgaria. Parva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.03, variance V = 1.29, SD = 1.13, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Bulgaria. Parva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.35, variance V = 3.10, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Bulgaria. Parva Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
06-19-2024
14:47:32 UTC