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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Bulgaria. Parva Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 592, period of time : 02-28-2020 - 09-18-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.47, variance V = 2.95, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 48.1%, draw = 25.2%, P2 = 26.7%, total 0 = 10.3%, over 2.5 = 43.2%, under 2.5 = 56.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Bulgaria. Parva Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Bulgaria. Parva Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.43, variance V = 1.68, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Bulgaria. Parva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.03, variance V = 1.31, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Bulgaria. Parva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.40, variance V = 3.05, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.13, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Bulgaria. Parva Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
20:02:44 UTC