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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Lithuania. A Lyga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 378, period of time : 03-03-2017 - 06-01-2020


Match total

Average per match E = 2.80, variance V = 3.07, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Total PDF
Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.50, variance V = 2.09, SD = 1.45, E/V = 0.72, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.76, SD = 1.33, E/V = 0.74, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.20, variance V = 4.63, SD = 2.15, E/V = 0.04, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Lithuania. A Lyga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Friday
06-05-2020
02:12:13 UTC