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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Lithuania. A Lyga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 677, period of time : 03-03-2017 - 05-15-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.72, variance V = 2.84, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 41.5%, draw = 23.5%, P2 = 35.0%, total 0 = 6.8%, over 2.5 = 49.8%, under 2.5 = 50.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Total PDF
Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.46, variance V = 1.89, SD = 1.37, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.26, variance V = 1.63, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.20, variance V = 4.21, SD = 2.05, E/V = 0.05, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Lithuania. A Lyga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Saturday
05-21-2022
15:02:47 UTC