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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Lithuania. A Lyga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 794, period of time : 03-03-2017 - 11-30-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.74, variance V = 2.74, SD = 1.66, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 41.8%, draw = 23.3%, P2 = 34.9%, total 0 = 6.4%, over 2.5 = 50.6%, under 2.5 = 49.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Total PDF
Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.46, variance V = 1.88, SD = 1.37, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.27, variance V = 1.63, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.19, variance V = 4.27, SD = 2.07, E/V = 0.04, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Lithuania. A Lyga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
01-31-2023
12:54:48 UTC