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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Lithuania. A Lyga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 607, period of time : 03-03-2017 - 11-24-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.77, variance V = 2.79, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Total PDF
Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.49, variance V = 1.89, SD = 1.37, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.28, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Lithuania. A Lyga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.21, variance V = 4.20, SD = 2.05, E/V = 0.05, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Lithuania. A Lyga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
04:12:59 UTC