Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Lithuania. A Lyga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1080, period of time : 03-03-2017 - 07-05-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.62, variance V = 2.75, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 41.3%, draw = 23.9%, P2 = 34.8%, total 0 = 7.9%, over 2.5 = 47.9%, under 2.5 = 52.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.78, SD = 1.33, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.22, variance V = 1.57, SD = 1.25, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.18, variance V = 3.94, SD = 1.99, E/V = 0.04, Min = -7, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)