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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Cyprus. First Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 994, period of time : 08-21-2020 - 05-12-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.55, variance V = 2.75, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 12
P1 = 42.8%, draw = 24.5%, P2 = 32.7%, total 0 = 8.6%, over 2.5 = 47.4%, under 2.5 = 52.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.57, SD = 1.25, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.37, SD = 1.17, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.18, variance V = 3.12, SD = 1.77, E/V = 0.06, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Cyprus. First Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
06-22-2024
03:45:54 UTC