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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Cyprus. First Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 495, period of time : 08-21-2020 - 10-03-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.43, variance V = 2.38, SD = 1.54, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 42.2%, draw = 26.1%, P2 = 31.7%, total 0 = 9.5%, over 2.5 = 45.4%, under 2.5 = 54.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.29, variance V = 1.36, SD = 1.17, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.14, variance V = 1.30, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.16, variance V = 2.94, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Cyprus. First Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
10-03-2022
21:37:22 UTC