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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Cyprus. First Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 448, period of time : 08-21-2020 - 05-09-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.43, variance V = 2.40, SD = 1.55, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 42.9%, draw = 26.3%, P2 = 30.8%, total 0 = 9.6%, over 2.5 = 45.5%, under 2.5 = 54.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.34, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.13, variance V = 1.29, SD = 1.13, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.17, variance V = 2.85, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.06, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Cyprus. First Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Saturday
05-21-2022
16:04:00 UTC