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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Cyprus. First Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 908, period of time : 08-21-2020 - 02-21-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.51, variance V = 2.53, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 43.3%, draw = 24.5%, P2 = 32.3%, total 0 = 8.7%, over 2.5 = 47.2%, under 2.5 = 52.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.51, SD = 1.23, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.15, variance V = 1.31, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Cyprus. First Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.20, variance V = 3.11, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.07, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Cyprus. First Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
02-27-2024
17:21:07 UTC