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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Kazakhstan. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1819, period of time : 04-27-2014 - 04-21-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.47, variance V = 2.53, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 47.0%, draw = 23.4%, P2 = 29.6%, total 0 = 8.4%, over 2.5 = 46.0%, under 2.5 = 54.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Kazakhstan. Premier League: Poisson and Total PDF
Kazakhstan. Premier League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.43, variance V = 1.59, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Kazakhstan. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.04, variance V = 1.12, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Kazakhstan. Premier League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.38, variance V = 2.89, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.13, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Kazakhstan. Premier League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Friday
04-26-2024
09:06:31 UTC