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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. League Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 846, period of time : 09-24-2013 - 11-10-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.88, variance V = 2.98, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 40.0%, draw = 23.3%, P2 = 36.8%, total 0 = 6.5%, over 2.5 = 55.3%, under 2.5 = 44.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

England. League Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
England. League Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.50, variance V = 1.98, SD = 1.41, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.38, variance V = 1.62, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.12, variance V = 4.23, SD = 2.06, E/V = 0.03, Min = -8, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

England. League Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
12-05-2022
03:33:52 UTC