Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. League Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 663, period of time : 09-21-2016 - 02-25-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.91, variance V = 3.05, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 40.6%, draw = 23.2%, P2 = 36.2%, total 0 = 6.6%, over 2.5 = 55.0%, under 2.5 = 45.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.52, variance V = 2.08, SD = 1.44, E/V = 0.73, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.68, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.14, variance V = 4.48, SD = 2.12, E/V = 0.03, Min = -8, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)