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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. League Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 923, period of time : 08-11-2014 - 02-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.87, variance V = 2.97, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 39.8%, draw = 23.7%, P2 = 36.5%, total 0 = 6.4%, over 2.5 = 54.7%, under 2.5 = 45.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

England. League Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
England. League Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.49, variance V = 1.95, SD = 1.40, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.38, variance V = 1.63, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.12, variance V = 4.18, SD = 2.04, E/V = 0.03, Min = -8, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

England. League Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
05-22-2024
11:22:43 UTC