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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Poland. Ekstraklasa

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2268, period of time : 09-19-2016 - 05-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.63, variance V = 2.63, SD = 1.62, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 44.0%, draw = 26.7%, P2 = 29.3%, total 0 = 7.8%, over 2.5 = 49.4%, under 2.5 = 50.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Poland. Ekstraklasa: Poisson and Total PDF
Poland. Ekstraklasa: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 1.53, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Poland. Ekstraklasa: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.20, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Poland. Ekstraklasa: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.32, variance V = 2.81, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Poland. Ekstraklasa: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:06:13 UTC