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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Poland. Ekstraklasa

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2930, period of time : 03-28-2014 - 03-17-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.64, variance V = 2.66, SD = 1.63, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.8%, draw = 27.2%, P2 = 29.0%, total 0 = 8.0%, over 2.5 = 49.2%, under 2.5 = 50.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Poland. Ekstraklasa: Poisson and Total PDF
Poland. Ekstraklasa: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 1.52, SD = 1.23, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Poland. Ekstraklasa: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.21, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Poland. Ekstraklasa: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.31, variance V = 2.80, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Poland. Ekstraklasa: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
03-28-2024
11:11:20 UTC