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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Chile. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1926, period of time : 09-23-2016 - 06-20-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.62, variance V = 2.60, SD = 1.61, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.8%, draw = 27.1%, P2 = 29.1%, total 0 = 7.7%, over 2.5 = 49.6%, under 2.5 = 50.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.45, variance V = 1.34, SD = 1.16, E/V = 1.08, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.17, variance V = 1.20, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 2.49, SD = 1.58, E/V = 0.11, Min = -5, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Chile. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:05:25 UTC