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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Chile. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2751, period of time : 01-27-2012 - 12-05-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.72, variance V = 2.72, SD = 1.65, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 44.4%, draw = 26.1%, P2 = 29.5%, total 0 = 6.8%, over 2.5 = 51.6%, under 2.5 = 48.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.51, variance V = 1.45, SD = 1.21, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.21, variance V = 1.21, SD = 1.10, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.29, variance V = 2.60, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Chile. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
01-17-2022
09:17:06 UTC