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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Chile. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2510, period of time : 04-19-2014 - 04-15-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.68, variance V = 2.67, SD = 1.63, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 43.7%, draw = 26.7%, P2 = 29.6%, total 0 = 7.3%, over 2.5 = 50.7%, under 2.5 = 49.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.47, variance V = 1.37, SD = 1.17, E/V = 1.08, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.20, variance V = 1.23, SD = 1.11, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.27, variance V = 2.52, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Chile. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
04-17-2024
11:09:49 UTC