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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Chile. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2709, period of time : 06-23-2012 - 05-31-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.70, variance V = 2.73, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 44.3%, draw = 26.5%, P2 = 29.2%, total 0 = 7.1%, over 2.5 = 51.1%, under 2.5 = 48.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.50, variance V = 1.43, SD = 1.20, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.21, variance V = 1.20, SD = 1.10, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Chile. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.29, variance V = 2.54, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.11, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Chile. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
06-28-2022
23:42:56 UTC