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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Slovenia. Prva Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 413, period of time : 06-05-2020 - 05-16-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.52, variance V = 2.67, SD = 1.63, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 39.7%, draw = 26.6%, P2 = 33.7%, total 0 = 9.7%, over 2.5 = 46.0%, under 2.5 = 54.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.31, variance V = 1.37, SD = 1.17, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.21, variance V = 1.36, SD = 1.17, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.10, variance V = 2.80, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.03, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-26-2022
10:54:06 UTC