Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Slovenia. Prva Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 602, period of time : 06-05-2020 - 05-28-2023

Match total

Average per match E = 2.54, variance V = 2.78, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 39.4%, draw = 27.7%, P2 = 32.9%, total 0 = 9.5%, over 2.5 = 45.7%, under 2.5 = 54.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.31, variance V = 1.47, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.23, variance V = 1.39, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.08, variance V = 2.95, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.03, Min = -8, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)