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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Slovenia. Prva Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 781, period of time : 06-05-2020 - 05-19-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.60, variance V = 2.73, SD = 1.65, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 39.1%, draw = 27.3%, P2 = 33.7%, total 0 = 8.6%, over 2.5 = 47.1%, under 2.5 = 52.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.34, variance V = 1.49, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.26, variance V = 1.38, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.08, variance V = 3.03, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.03, Min = -8, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Tuesday
12-03-2024
08:44:37 UTC