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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Slovenia. Prva Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 714, period of time : 06-05-2020 - 02-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.60, variance V = 2.77, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 39.4%, draw = 26.6%, P2 = 34.0%, total 0 = 8.7%, over 2.5 = 46.9%, under 2.5 = 53.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.33, variance V = 1.53, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.27, variance V = 1.40, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.07, variance V = 3.09, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.02, Min = -8, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
02-27-2024
16:37:49 UTC