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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Slovenia. Prva Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 470, period of time : 06-05-2020 - 09-18-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.56, variance V = 2.78, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 39.6%, draw = 26.6%, P2 = 33.8%, total 0 = 9.6%, over 2.5 = 46.2%, under 2.5 = 53.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.31, variance V = 1.40, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.24, variance V = 1.40, SD = 1.18, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.07, variance V = 2.81, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.02, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Slovenia. Prva Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
09:23:51 UTC