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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. England. League Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 5568, period of time : 08-08-2014 - 05-26-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.54, variance V = 2.50, SD = 1.58, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 42.9%, draw = 26.8%, P2 = 30.3%, total 0 = 8.0%, over 2.5 = 47.5%, under 2.5 = 52.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

England. League Championship: Poisson and Total PDF
England. League Championship: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.41, variance V = 1.45, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.13, variance V = 1.14, SD = 1.07, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

England. League Championship: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.28, variance V = 2.68, SD = 1.64, E/V = 0.10, Min = -8, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

England. League Championship: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
06-15-2024
20:32:37 UTC