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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Japan. J-Legaue 1

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3175, period of time : 10-06-2012 - 10-01-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.63, variance V = 2.84, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 40.8%, draw = 24.4%, P2 = 34.7%, total 0 = 7.5%, over 2.5 = 48.5%, under 2.5 = 51.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Japan. J-Legaue 1: Poisson and Total PDF
Japan. J-Legaue 1: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.55, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Japan. J-Legaue 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.23, variance V = 1.31, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Japan. J-Legaue 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.16, variance V = 2.87, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.06, Min = -8, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Japan. J-Legaue 1: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
10-03-2022
21:21:34 UTC