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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Italy. Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 358, period of time : 11-29-2016 - 05-15-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.93, variance V = 3.16, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 57.3%, draw = 24.6%, P2 = 18.2%, total 0 = 8.4%, over 2.5 = 58.4%, under 2.5 = 41.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Italy. Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Italy. Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.88, variance V = 1.97, SD = 1.40, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Italy. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.05, variance V = 1.05, SD = 1.03, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Italy. Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.82, variance V = 2.89, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.29, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Italy. Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:05:27 UTC