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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Netherlands. Eredivisie

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3064, period of time : 05-13-2012 - 05-11-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.08, variance V = 2.95, SD = 1.72, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 13
P1 = 45.8%, draw = 23.6%, P2 = 30.6%, total 0 = 4.7%, over 2.5 = 59.3%, under 2.5 = 40.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Netherlands. Eredivisie: Poisson and Total PDF
Netherlands. Eredivisie: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.73, variance V = 1.91, SD = 1.38, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Netherlands. Eredivisie: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.35, variance V = 1.60, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Netherlands. Eredivisie: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.38, variance V = 4.09, SD = 2.02, E/V = 0.09, Min = -13, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Netherlands. Eredivisie: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
05-18-2022
15:19:53 UTC