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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Netherlands. Eredivisie

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3093, period of time : 09-29-2012 - 09-18-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.09, variance V = 2.98, SD = 1.73, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 13
P1 = 46.0%, draw = 23.4%, P2 = 30.6%, total 0 = 4.8%, over 2.5 = 59.6%, under 2.5 = 40.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Netherlands. Eredivisie: Poisson and Total PDF
Netherlands. Eredivisie: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.74, variance V = 1.93, SD = 1.39, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Netherlands. Eredivisie: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.35, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Netherlands. Eredivisie: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.39, variance V = 4.10, SD = 2.02, E/V = 0.10, Min = -13, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Netherlands. Eredivisie: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
18:28:01 UTC