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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Netherlands. Eredivisie

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3105, period of time : 08-08-2014 - 06-02-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 3.09, variance V = 3.01, SD = 1.74, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 13
P1 = 45.4%, draw = 23.2%, P2 = 31.4%, total 0 = 5.1%, over 2.5 = 59.6%, under 2.5 = 40.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Netherlands. Eredivisie: Poisson and Total PDF
Netherlands. Eredivisie: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.73, variance V = 1.99, SD = 1.41, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Netherlands. Eredivisie: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.65, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 13
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Netherlands. Eredivisie: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.36, variance V = 4.26, SD = 2.06, E/V = 0.09, Min = -13, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Netherlands. Eredivisie: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
06-17-2024
12:39:18 UTC