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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Turkey. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3312, period of time : 04-11-2014 - 04-04-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.80, variance V = 2.87, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 45.1%, draw = 25.7%, P2 = 29.2%, total 0 = 6.9%, over 2.5 = 52.8%, under 2.5 = 47.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Turkey. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Turkey. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.66, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Turkey. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.23, variance V = 1.32, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Turkey. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.35, variance V = 3.10, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.11, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Turkey. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
04-17-2024
12:54:09 UTC