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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Turkey. Super League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3273, period of time : 09-21-2012 - 09-18-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.76, variance V = 2.84, SD = 1.69, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 45.4%, draw = 25.9%, P2 = 28.7%, total 0 = 7.6%, over 2.5 = 52.4%, under 2.5 = 47.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Turkey. Super League: Poisson and Total PDF
Turkey. Super League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.56, variance V = 1.64, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Turkey. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.20, variance V = 1.28, SD = 1.13, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Turkey. Super League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.36, variance V = 3.00, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.12, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Turkey. Super League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
09-28-2022
19:56:21 UTC