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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Thailand. League 1

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 812, period of time : 02-14-2020 - 12-03-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.75, variance V = 2.92, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.6%, draw = 24.3%, P2 = 29.2%, total 0 = 7.1%, over 2.5 = 52.8%, under 2.5 = 47.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Thailand. League 1: Poisson and Total PDF
Thailand. League 1: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.55, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Thailand. League 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.21, variance V = 1.33, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Thailand. League 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.34, variance V = 2.97, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.12, Min = -7, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Thailand. League 1: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
12-06-2023
11:20:55 UTC