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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Thailand. League 1

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 887, period of time : 02-14-2020 - 03-10-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.78, variance V = 2.95, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.3%, draw = 24.8%, P2 = 28.9%, total 0 = 7.0%, over 2.5 = 53.1%, under 2.5 = 46.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Thailand. League 1: Poisson and Total PDF
Thailand. League 1: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.66, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Thailand. League 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.21, variance V = 1.30, SD = 1.14, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Thailand. League 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.37, variance V = 2.98, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.12, Min = -7, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Thailand. League 1: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
03-28-2024
23:22:12 UTC