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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Thailand. League 1

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 371, period of time : 02-14-2020 - 01-16-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.78, variance V = 2.96, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 46.6%, draw = 20.2%, P2 = 33.2%, total 0 = 5.9%, over 2.5 = 52.8%, under 2.5 = 47.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Thailand. League 1: Poisson and Total PDF
Thailand. League 1: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.54, variance V = 1.61, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Thailand. League 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.24, variance V = 1.49, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Thailand. League 1: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 3.23, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Thailand. League 1: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
01-27-2022
11:51:09 UTC