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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Mexico. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3364, period of time : 09-22-2012 - 09-19-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.61, variance V = 2.57, SD = 1.60, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 44.3%, draw = 27.8%, P2 = 27.9%, total 0 = 7.7%, over 2.5 = 48.8%, under 2.5 = 51.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Mexico. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Mexico. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 1.46, SD = 1.21, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Mexico. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.13, variance V = 1.07, SD = 1.04, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Mexico. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.35, variance V = 2.49, SD = 1.58, E/V = 0.14, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Mexico. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
09-29-2022
20:13:13 UTC