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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. United Arab Emirates. Pro League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 678, period of time : 03-13-2020 - 04-15-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 3.09, variance V = 2.85, SD = 1.69, E/V = 1.08, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 42.2%, draw = 22.7%, P2 = 35.1%, total 0 = 3.8%, over 2.5 = 60.8%, under 2.5 = 39.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Total PDF
United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.62, variance V = 1.75, SD = 1.32, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.47, variance V = 1.53, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.15, variance V = 3.70, SD = 1.92, E/V = 0.04, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
04-25-2024
10:55:10 UTC