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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. United Arab Emirates. Pro League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 280, period of time : 03-13-2020 - 01-11-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 3.02, variance V = 2.78, SD = 1.67, E/V = 1.09, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 43.6%, draw = 25.0%, P2 = 31.4%, total 0 = 5.0%, over 2.5 = 60.0%, under 2.5 = 40.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Total PDF
United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.61, variance V = 1.64, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.59, SD = 1.26, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.21, variance V = 3.69, SD = 1.92, E/V = 0.06, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
01-27-2022
11:42:21 UTC