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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. United Arab Emirates. Pro League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 371, period of time : 03-13-2020 - 05-26-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.99, variance V = 2.70, SD = 1.64, E/V = 1.11, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 44.5%, draw = 23.5%, P2 = 32.1%, total 0 = 4.6%, over 2.5 = 59.8%, under 2.5 = 40.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Total PDF
United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.61, variance V = 1.68, SD = 1.30, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.38, variance V = 1.47, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.23, variance V = 3.60, SD = 1.90, E/V = 0.06, Min = -6, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Monday
08-08-2022
22:49:31 UTC