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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. United Arab Emirates. Pro League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 609, period of time : 03-13-2020 - 11-26-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 3.05, variance V = 2.86, SD = 1.69, E/V = 1.07, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 42.4%, draw = 22.8%, P2 = 34.8%, total 0 = 4.1%, over 2.5 = 59.8%, under 2.5 = 40.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Total PDF
United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.61, variance V = 1.74, SD = 1.32, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.44, variance V = 1.51, SD = 1.23, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.18, variance V = 3.64, SD = 1.91, E/V = 0.05, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

United Arab Emirates. Pro League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
11-29-2023
02:30:37 UTC