Mathematical statistics of goals - Ice Hockey (FT)

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 55886, period of time : 09-19-2016 - 06-24-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 5.54, variance V = 6.01, SD = 2.45, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 26
P1 = 45.6%, draw = 20.2%, P2 = 34.3%, total 0 = 0.6%, over 2.5 = 90.3%, under 2.5 = 9.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.96, variance V = 3.71, SD = 1.93, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 22
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 2.58, variance V = 3.17, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 21
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.38, variance V = 7.74, SD = 2.78, E/V = 0.05, Min = -19, Max = 20
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)