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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Saudi Arabia. Professional League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 522, period of time : 03-11-2020 - 05-12-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.90, variance V = 2.92, SD = 1.71, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.4%, draw = 24.7%, P2 = 30.8%, total 0 = 4.6%, over 2.5 = 54.8%, under 2.5 = 45.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Total PDF
Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 1.43, SD = 1.20, E/V = 1.10, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.33, variance V = 1.45, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.25, variance V = 2.83, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.09, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
05-18-2022
17:20:41 UTC