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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Saudi Arabia. Professional League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 776, period of time : 03-11-2020 - 05-23-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.82, variance V = 2.66, SD = 1.63, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.7%, draw = 23.7%, P2 = 31.6%, total 0 = 5.0%, over 2.5 = 54.5%, under 2.5 = 45.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Total PDF
Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.52, variance V = 1.39, SD = 1.18, E/V = 1.09, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.46, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.22, variance V = 3.05, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.07, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
06-01-2023
03:21:10 UTC