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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Saudi Arabia. Professional League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 411, period of time : 03-11-2020 - 11-28-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.94, variance V = 2.86, SD = 1.69, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 43.8%, draw = 24.6%, P2 = 31.6%, total 0 = 4.1%, over 2.5 = 55.7%, under 2.5 = 44.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Total PDF
Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 1.41, SD = 1.19, E/V = 1.12, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.36, variance V = 1.44, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.22, variance V = 2.83, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.08, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
12-07-2021
13:16:44 UTC