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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Saudi Arabia. Professional League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1098, period of time : 03-11-2020 - 05-27-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.86, variance V = 2.84, SD = 1.69, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 43.8%, draw = 24.0%, P2 = 32.2%, total 0 = 5.8%, over 2.5 = 55.1%, under 2.5 = 44.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Total PDF
Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.53, variance V = 1.53, SD = 1.24, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.33, variance V = 1.56, SD = 1.25, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.20, variance V = 3.34, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.06, Min = -9, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Saturday
06-15-2024
21:41:11 UTC