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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Saudi Arabia. Professional League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 977, period of time : 03-11-2020 - 02-24-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.86, variance V = 2.79, SD = 1.67, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.5%, draw = 23.4%, P2 = 32.0%, total 0 = 5.4%, over 2.5 = 55.0%, under 2.5 = 45.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Total PDF
Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.53, variance V = 1.50, SD = 1.23, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.33, variance V = 1.55, SD = 1.25, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.20, variance V = 3.32, SD = 1.82, E/V = 0.06, Min = -9, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Saudi Arabia. Professional League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
02-28-2024
10:31:16 UTC