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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Georgia. Erovnuli Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1858, period of time : 11-30-2013 - 11-24-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.66, variance V = 3.12, SD = 1.77, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.7%, draw = 23.7%, P2 = 31.5%, total 0 = 10.5%, over 2.5 = 50.9%, under 2.5 = 49.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 1.91, SD = 1.38, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.18, variance V = 1.49, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.31, variance V = 3.68, SD = 1.92, E/V = 0.08, Min = -9, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
11-29-2023
08:22:04 UTC