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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Georgia. Erovnuli Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1508, period of time : 11-09-2013 - 11-29-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.61, variance V = 2.98, SD = 1.73, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.8%, draw = 23.4%, P2 = 31.8%, total 0 = 10.5%, over 2.5 = 49.7%, under 2.5 = 50.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.45, variance V = 1.82, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.46, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.30, variance V = 3.57, SD = 1.89, E/V = 0.08, Min = -8, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
12-05-2021
04:31:13 UTC