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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Georgia. Erovnuli Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1691, period of time : 11-09-2013 - 11-26-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.62, variance V = 3.03, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 45.1%, draw = 23.7%, P2 = 31.2%, total 0 = 10.5%, over 2.5 = 49.8%, under 2.5 = 50.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.47, variance V = 1.87, SD = 1.37, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.15, variance V = 1.44, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.80, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.31, variance V = 3.59, SD = 1.89, E/V = 0.09, Min = -8, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Georgia. Erovnuli Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Thursday
12-08-2022
06:30:27 UTC