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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Montenegro. Prva Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 719, period of time : 02-17-2020 - 02-25-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.40, variance V = 2.58, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 39.6%, draw = 29.5%, P2 = 30.9%, total 0 = 10.3%, over 2.5 = 42.7%, under 2.5 = 57.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Montenegro. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Montenegro. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.28, variance V = 1.41, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Montenegro. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.12, variance V = 1.10, SD = 1.05, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Montenegro. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.16, variance V = 2.44, SD = 1.56, E/V = 0.07, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Montenegro. Prva Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
02-28-2024
09:31:11 UTC