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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Montenegro. Prva Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 796, period of time : 02-17-2020 - 06-04-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.41, variance V = 2.57, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 40.2%, draw = 28.9%, P2 = 30.9%, total 0 = 10.2%, over 2.5 = 43.1%, under 2.5 = 56.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Montenegro. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Montenegro. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.30, variance V = 1.45, SD = 1.20, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Montenegro. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.11, variance V = 1.08, SD = 1.04, E/V = 1.03, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Montenegro. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.18, variance V = 2.48, SD = 1.58, E/V = 0.07, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Montenegro. Prva Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
11-15-2024
00:34:45 UTC