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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Montenegro. Prva Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 418, period of time : 02-17-2020 - 05-14-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.33, variance V = 2.46, SD = 1.57, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 40.0%, draw = 28.0%, P2 = 32.1%, total 0 = 9.8%, over 2.5 = 39.5%, under 2.5 = 60.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Montenegro. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total PDF
Montenegro. Prva Liga: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.23, variance V = 1.42, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Montenegro. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.10, variance V = 1.07, SD = 1.04, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Montenegro. Prva Liga: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.13, variance V = 2.51, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.05, Min = -4, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Montenegro. Prva Liga: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
05-26-2022
11:12:04 UTC