Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Montenegro. Prva Liga

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 612, period of time : 02-17-2020 - 05-25-2023

Match total

Average per match E = 2.40, variance V = 2.58, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 40.2%, draw = 28.3%, P2 = 31.5%, total 0 = 10.3%, over 2.5 = 43.0%, under 2.5 = 57.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.28, variance V = 1.46, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.11, variance V = 1.11, SD = 1.05, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.17, variance V = 2.56, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.07, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)