Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Northern Ireland. Premier League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1767, period of time : 09-24-2016 - 05-06-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.99, variance V = 3.02, SD = 1.74, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 44.7%, draw = 19.2%, P2 = 36.1%, total 0 = 5.0%, over 2.5 = 57.7%, under 2.5 = 42.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.63, variance V = 2.06, SD = 1.44, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.63, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.26, variance V = 4.37, SD = 2.09, E/V = 0.06, Min = -6, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)