To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. UEFA. Europe Championship. Qualification

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 906, period of time : 08-22-2007 - 11-12-2020

### Match total

Average per match E = 2.80, variance V = 3.11, SD = 1.76, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 47.2%, draw = 18.3%, P2 = 34.4%, total 0 = 6.3%, over 2.5 = 51.9%, under 2.5 = 48.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)  ### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 2.67, SD = 1.63, E/V = 0.59, Min = 0, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.22, variance V = 1.77, SD = 1.33, E/V = 0.69, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.36, variance V = 5.77, SD = 2.40, E/V = 0.06, Min = -7, Max = 11
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2) Page time:

Tuesday
06-28-2022
14:52:12 UTC