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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. UEFA. Europa League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2162, period of time : 07-28-2016 - 05-26-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.70, variance V = 2.78, SD = 1.67, E/V = 0.97, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

UEFA. Europa League: Poisson and Total PDF
UEFA. Europa League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 1.92, SD = 1.39, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europa League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.13, variance V = 1.33, SD = 1.15, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europa League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.43, variance V = 3.72, SD = 1.93, E/V = 0.12, Min = -8, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

UEFA. Europa League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
07-28-2021
17:26:04 UTC