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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. UEFA. Europa Conference League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 642, period of time : 07-06-2021 - 08-11-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.64, variance V = 2.90, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 48.9%, draw = 22.7%, P2 = 28.3%, total 0 = 8.6%, over 2.5 = 48.6%, under 2.5 = 51.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

UEFA. Europa Conference League: Poisson and Total PDF
UEFA. Europa Conference League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 2.00, SD = 1.42, E/V = 0.79, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europa Conference League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.06, variance V = 1.27, SD = 1.13, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europa Conference League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.52, variance V = 3.65, SD = 1.91, E/V = 0.14, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

UEFA. Europa Conference League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
08-17-2022
22:13:43 UTC