Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. UEFA. Europa Conference League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1239, period of time : 07-06-2021 - 03-14-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.72, variance V = 2.90, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 47.5%, draw = 22.6%, P2 = 29.9%, total 0 = 7.5%, over 2.5 = 51.2%, under 2.5 = 48.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 1.91, SD = 1.38, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.14, variance V = 1.35, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.44, variance V = 3.63, SD = 1.91, E/V = 0.12, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)