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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. UEFA. Europa Conference League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 297, period of time : 07-06-2021 - 09-16-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.69, variance V = 3.06, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 9
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

UEFA. Europa Conference League: Poisson and Total PDF
UEFA. Europa Conference League: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.62, variance V = 2.14, SD = 1.46, E/V = 0.75, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europa Conference League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.07, variance V = 1.28, SD = 1.13, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

UEFA. Europa Conference League: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.55, variance V = 3.79, SD = 1.95, E/V = 0.14, Min = -5, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

UEFA. Europa Conference League: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Thursday
09-23-2021
14:29:16 UTC