Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. UEFA. Europa Conference League

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1174, period of time : 07-06-2021 - 11-09-2023

Match total

Average per match E = 2.71, variance V = 2.90, SD = 1.70, E/V = 0.94, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 47.8%, draw = 22.7%, P2 = 29.6%, total 0 = 7.6%, over 2.5 = 50.8%, under 2.5 = 49.2%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.58, variance V = 1.89, SD = 1.38, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.13, variance V = 1.35, SD = 1.16, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.45, variance V = 3.60, SD = 1.90, E/V = 0.12, Min = -5, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)