To the Heroes Glory!

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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Women. World Championship

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 449, period of time : 06-26-2011 - 08-20-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 3.63, variance V = 8.03, SD = 2.83, E/V = 0.45, Min = 0, Max = 20
P1 = 49.7%, draw = 14.2%, P2 = 36.1%, total 0 = 5.3%, over 2.5 = 59.7%, under 2.5 = 40.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

World Championship. Women: Poisson and Total PDF
World Championship. Women: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.07, variance V = 7.34, SD = 2.71, E/V = 0.28, Min = 0, Max = 20
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

World Championship. Women: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.57, variance V = 5.00, SD = 2.24, E/V = 0.31, Min = 0, Max = 15
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

World Championship. Women: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.50, variance V = 16.64, SD = 4.08, E/V = 0.03, Min = -15, Max = 20
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

World Championship. Women: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
03-02-2024
13:04:13 UTC