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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. World Championship U20

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 302, period of time : 07-29-2011 - 06-11-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.75, variance V = 3.36, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 12
P1 = 38.1%, draw = 26.2%, P2 = 35.8%, total 0 = 9.6%, over 2.5 = 51.0%, under 2.5 = 49.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

World Championship U20: Poisson and Total PDF
World Championship U20: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 2.62, SD = 1.62, E/V = 0.57, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

World Championship U20: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.26, variance V = 1.62, SD = 1.27, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

World Championship U20: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.22, variance V = 5.11, SD = 2.26, E/V = 0.04, Min = -6, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

World Championship U20: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Monday
06-17-2024
13:06:04 UTC