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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. World Championship U20

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 295, period of time : 07-29-2011 - 06-03-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.76, variance V = 3.38, SD = 1.84, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 12
P1 = 37.6%, draw = 26.4%, P2 = 35.9%, total 0 = 9.5%, over 2.5 = 51.2%, under 2.5 = 48.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

World Championship U20: Poisson and Total PDF
World Championship U20: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.49, variance V = 2.65, SD = 1.63, E/V = 0.56, Min = 0, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

World Championship U20: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.27, variance V = 1.63, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

World Championship U20: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.22, variance V = 5.18, SD = 2.28, E/V = 0.04, Min = -6, Max = 12
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

World Championship U20: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Sunday
06-04-2023
06:56:21 UTC