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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Confederations Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 48, period of time : 06-14-2009 - 07-02-2017


Match total

Average per match E = 3.19, variance V = 4.62, SD = 2.15, E/V = 0.69, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 37.5%, draw = 22.9%, P2 = 39.6%, total 0 = 8.3%, over 2.5 = 60.4%, under 2.5 = 39.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Confederations Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Confederations Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.65, variance V = 3.85, SD = 1.96, E/V = 0.43, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Confederations Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.54, variance V = 2.13, SD = 1.46, E/V = 0.73, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Confederations Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.10, variance V = 7.33, SD = 2.71, E/V = 0.01, Min = -5, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Confederations Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
04-19-2024
14:46:54 UTC