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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Confederations Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 32, period of time : 06-15-2013 - 07-02-2017


Match total

Average per match E = 3.44, variance V = 4.96, SD = 2.23, E/V = 0.69, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 43.8%, draw = 25.0%, P2 = 31.3%, total 0 = 6.3%, over 2.5 = 65.6%, under 2.5 = 34.4%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Confederations Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Confederations Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 2.06, variance V = 4.64, SD = 2.15, E/V = 0.44, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Confederations Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.38, variance V = 1.98, SD = 1.41, E/V = 0.69, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Confederations Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.69, variance V = 8.29, SD = 2.88, E/V = 0.08, Min = -5, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Confederations Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
10-06-2024
01:17:47 UTC