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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Club World Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 61, period of time : 12-08-2016 - 12-22-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 3.16, variance V = 3.81, SD = 1.95, E/V = 0.83, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 37.7%, draw = 21.3%, P2 = 41.0%, total 0 = 6.6%, over 2.5 = 60.7%, under 2.5 = 39.3%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Club World Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Club World Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.54, variance V = 2.02, SD = 1.42, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Club World Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.62, variance V = 1.97, SD = 1.40, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Club World Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = -0.08, variance V = 4.18, SD = 2.04, E/V = -0.02, Min = -4, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Club World Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:07:15 UTC