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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Club World Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 77, period of time : 12-10-2014 - 12-22-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 3.00, variance V = 3.34, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 37.7%, draw = 23.4%, P2 = 39.0%, total 0 = 6.5%, over 2.5 = 58.4%, under 2.5 = 41.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Club World Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Club World Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 1.83, SD = 1.35, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Club World Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.52, variance V = 1.86, SD = 1.36, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Club World Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = -0.04, variance V = 4.04, SD = 2.01, E/V = -0.01, Min = -4, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Club World Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
04-13-2024
03:30:00 UTC