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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Club World Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 71, period of time : 12-11-2013 - 02-12-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.89, variance V = 2.96, SD = 1.72, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 40.8%, draw = 25.4%, P2 = 33.8%, total 0 = 7.0%, over 2.5 = 56.3%, under 2.5 = 43.7%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Club World Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
Club World Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.48, variance V = 1.77, SD = 1.33, E/V = 0.84, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Club World Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.41, variance V = 1.65, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.86, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Club World Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.07, variance V = 3.87, SD = 1.97, E/V = 0.02, Min = -4, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Club World Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
01-31-2023
13:44:26 UTC