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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. Venezuela. Primera Division

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 2807, period of time : 05-28-2014 - 03-19-2023


Match total

Average per match E = 2.46, variance V = 2.55, SD = 1.60, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 44.3%, draw = 30.1%, P2 = 25.6%, total 0 = 10.5%, over 2.5 = 45.2%, under 2.5 = 54.8%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Venezuela. Primera Division: Poisson and Total PDF
Venezuela. Primera Division: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.43, variance V = 1.50, SD = 1.22, E/V = 0.95, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Venezuela. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.04, variance V = 1.08, SD = 1.04, E/V = 0.96, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Venezuela. Primera Division: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.39, variance V = 2.61, SD = 1.61, E/V = 0.15, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

Venezuela. Primera Division: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Sunday
05-26-2024
02:55:56 UTC