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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. USA. MLS is Back

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 51, period of time : 07-09-2020 - 08-12-2020


Match total

Average per match E = 2.86, variance V = 3.72, SD = 1.93, E/V = 0.77, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 33.3%, draw = 27.5%, P2 = 39.2%, total 0 = 7.8%, over 2.5 = 51.0%, under 2.5 = 49.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

USA. MLS is Back: Poisson and Total PDF
USA. MLS is Back: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.72, SD = 1.31, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. MLS is Back: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.47, variance V = 1.45, SD = 1.21, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 4
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. MLS is Back: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = -0.08, variance V = 2.63, SD = 1.62, E/V = -0.03, Min = -4, Max = 4
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

USA. MLS is Back: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
04-26-2024
23:43:36 UTC