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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. USA. MLS

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 4079, period of time : 04-12-2014 - 04-06-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.89, variance V = 2.87, SD = 1.69, E/V = 1.01, Min = 0, Max = 10
P1 = 50.8%, draw = 25.4%, P2 = 23.8%, total 0 = 6.5%, over 2.5 = 56.9%, under 2.5 = 43.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

USA. MLS: Poisson and Total PDF
USA. MLS: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.73, variance V = 1.63, SD = 1.28, E/V = 1.06, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. MLS: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.16, variance V = 1.18, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.98, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. MLS: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.58, variance V = 2.76, SD = 1.66, E/V = 0.21, Min = -7, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

USA. MLS: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
04-16-2024
13:37:14 UTC