To the Heroes Glory!

stats icon Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. USA. MLS

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 3373, period of time : 09-24-2016 - 07-14-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.94, variance V = 2.94, SD = 1.71, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 50.3%, draw = 24.9%, P2 = 24.8%, total 0 = 6.6%, over 2.5 = 58.4%, under 2.5 = 41.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

USA. MLS: Poisson and Total PDF
USA. MLS: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.75, variance V = 1.69, SD = 1.30, E/V = 1.04, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. MLS: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.19, variance V = 1.20, SD = 1.10, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

USA. MLS: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.57, variance V = 2.84, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.20, Min = -6, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

USA. MLS: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Friday
10-02-2026
02:25:04 UTC