Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. World Championship Q

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 283, period of time : 06-06-2009 - 03-29-2022

Match total

Average per match E = 2.64, variance V = 2.39, SD = 1.55, E/V = 1.10, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 51.6%, draw = 23.0%, P2 = 25.4%, total 0 = 6.7%, over 2.5 = 50.5%, under 2.5 = 49.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.64, variance V = 1.65, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.99, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.01, variance V = 1.13, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.63, variance V = 3.16, SD = 1.78, E/V = 0.20, Min = -4, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)