To the Heroes Glory!

# Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. World Championship Q

## Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 343, period of time : 10-13-2007 - 03-29-2022

### Match total

Average per match E = 2.63, variance V = 2.61, SD = 1.62, E/V = 1.00, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 51.6%, draw = 24.5%, P2 = 23.9%, total 0 = 8.2%, over 2.5 = 49.0%, under 2.5 = 51.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)  ### Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.66, variance V = 1.87, SD = 1.37, E/V = 0.89, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.97, variance V = 1.12, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) ••• ### Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.69, variance V = 3.36, SD = 1.83, E/V = 0.20, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2) Page time:

Thursday
09-29-2022
21:24:35 UTC