Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. World Championship Q

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 323, period of time : 06-14-2008 - 03-29-2022

Match total

Average per match E = 2.61, variance V = 2.48, SD = 1.57, E/V = 1.05, Min = 0, Max = 7
P1 = 51.1%, draw = 24.5%, P2 = 24.5%, total 0 = 7.7%, over 2.5 = 48.9%, under 2.5 = 51.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.63, variance V = 1.75, SD = 1.32, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.98, variance V = 1.12, SD = 1.06, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 5
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.65, variance V = 3.27, SD = 1.81, E/V = 0.20, Min = -4, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)