Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. South American Super Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 22, period of time : 07-17-2014 - 02-29-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.23, variance V = 2.18, SD = 1.48, E/V = 1.02, Min = 0, Max = 5
P1 = 54.6%, draw = 22.7%, P2 = 22.7%, total 0 = 9.1%, over 2.5 = 45.4%, under 2.5 = 54.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.45, variance V = 1.12, SD = 1.06, E/V = 1.30, Min = 0, Max = 4
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.77, variance V = 0.85, SD = 0.92, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 3
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.68, variance V = 1.75, SD = 1.32, E/V = 0.39, Min = -1, Max = 3
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)