Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. South American Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1027, period of time : 09-28-2016 - 07-16-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.39, variance V = 2.63, SD = 1.62, E/V = 0.91, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 47.2%, draw = 23.9%, P2 = 28.9%, total 0 = 11.0%, over 2.5 = 43.4%, under 2.5 = 56.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.43, variance V = 1.73, SD = 1.32, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.97, variance V = 1.19, SD = 1.09, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.46, variance V = 3.22, SD = 1.79, E/V = 0.14, Min = -9, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)