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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. South American Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1130, period of time : 07-24-2012 - 05-06-2022


Match total

Average per match E = 2.28, variance V = 2.44, SD = 1.56, E/V = 0.93, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 48.1%, draw = 25.6%, P2 = 26.4%, total 0 = 11.9%, over 2.5 = 40.4%, under 2.5 = 59.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONMEBOL. South American Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
CONMEBOL. South American Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 1.54, SD = 1.24, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONMEBOL. South American Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.89, variance V = 1.03, SD = 1.01, E/V = 0.87, Min = 0, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONMEBOL. South American Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.50, variance V = 2.69, SD = 1.64, E/V = 0.18, Min = -5, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONMEBOL. South American Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Saturday
05-21-2022
16:40:52 UTC