Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. South American Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1277, period of time : 08-19-2014 - 06-08-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.34, variance V = 2.54, SD = 1.59, E/V = 0.92, Min = 0, Max = 11
P1 = 47.8%, draw = 24.7%, P2 = 27.5%, total 0 = 11.0%, over 2.5 = 41.5%, under 2.5 = 58.5%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.40, variance V = 1.65, SD = 1.29, E/V = 0.85, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.94, variance V = 1.15, SD = 1.07, E/V = 0.82, Min = 0, Max = 10
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.47, variance V = 3.05, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.15, Min = -9, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)