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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. Libertadores Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 1480, period of time : 02-25-2014 - 02-22-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.53, variance V = 2.82, SD = 1.68, E/V = 0.90, Min = 0, Max = 9
P1 = 51.1%, draw = 24.7%, P2 = 24.2%, total 0 = 8.9%, over 2.5 = 45.1%, under 2.5 = 54.9%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONMEBOL. Libertadores Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
CONMEBOL. Libertadores Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.59, variance V = 1.96, SD = 1.40, E/V = 0.81, Min = 0, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONMEBOL. Libertadores Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.94, variance V = 1.08, SD = 1.04, E/V = 0.88, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONMEBOL. Libertadores Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.65, variance V = 3.24, SD = 1.80, E/V = 0.20, Min = -6, Max = 8
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONMEBOL. Libertadores Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Wednesday
02-28-2024
03:36:24 UTC