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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. America Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 164, period of time : 06-26-2007 - 07-10-2021


Match total

Average per match E = 2.52, variance V = 3.38, SD = 1.84, E/V = 0.75, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 44.5%, draw = 29.9%, P2 = 25.6%, total 0 = 14.0%, over 2.5 = 47.0%, under 2.5 = 53.0%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONMEBOL. America Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
CONMEBOL. America Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.45, variance V = 2.11, SD = 1.45, E/V = 0.69, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONMEBOL. America Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.07, variance V = 1.65, SD = 1.28, E/V = 0.65, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONMEBOL. America Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.38, variance V = 4.14, SD = 2.03, E/V = 0.09, Min = -7, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONMEBOL. America Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
Page time:

Tuesday
12-07-2021
12:54:22 UTC