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Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. America Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)


Quantity of matches (sample size) : 144, period of time : 06-11-2015 - 07-15-2024


Match total

Average per match E = 2.39, variance V = 3.08, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.78, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 44.4%, draw = 29.2%, P2 = 26.4%, total 0 = 14.6%, over 2.5 = 44.4%, under 2.5 = 55.6%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

CONMEBOL. America Cup: Poisson and Total PDF
CONMEBOL. America Cup: Poisson and Total CDF

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.39, variance V = 2.03, SD = 1.42, E/V = 0.68, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONMEBOL. America Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 1 PDF

Away team goals

Average per match E = 1.00, variance V = 1.47, SD = 1.21, E/V = 0.68, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

CONMEBOL. America Cup: Poisson and Severyn distributions and Goals 2 PDF

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.39, variance V = 3.92, SD = 1.98, E/V = 0.10, Min = -7, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)

CONMEBOL. America Cup: Gaus (Normal) and Difference PDF
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Wednesday
10-28-2026
09:08:19 UTC