Tournament Table

Mathematical statistics of goals - Football. CONMEBOL. America Cup

Graphs of sample (in blue) and basic random variables (probability density)

Quantity of matches (sample size) : 163, period of time : 07-02-2011 - 07-05-2024

Match total

Average per match E = 2.34, variance V = 3.08, SD = 1.75, E/V = 0.76, Min = 0, Max = 8
P1 = 44.8%, draw = 30.7%, P2 = 24.5%, total 0 = 15.3%, over 2.5 = 42.9%, under 2.5 = 57.1%
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E)

Home team goals

Average per match E = 1.37, variance V = 1.91, SD = 1.38, E/V = 0.72, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Away team goals

Average per match E = 0.98, variance V = 1.41, SD = 1.19, E/V = 0.69, Min = 0, Max = 7
Basic random variable ~ Poisson distribution: Pois(E) and authentic random variable ~ Severyn distribition: Sever(E, V) •••

Goals difference

Average per match E = 0.39, variance V = 3.56, SD = 1.89, E/V = 0.11, Min = -7, Max = 6
Basic random variable ~ Skellam distribution: Pois(E1)-Pois(E2)